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FX Trends: USD: Overheating?

30 Aug 2023

Key Takeaways

  • Better-than-expected US data among other factors have driven US yields higher recently…
  • …which moved the DXY over 104 (albeit briefly), a level that could signal overheating
  • A toppish USD does not mean a broad reversal lower; mixed prospects for others likely

Our tactical view

Table of tactical views where a currency pair is referenced (e.g. USD/JPY):An up (⬆) / down (⬇) / sideways (➡) arrow indicates that the first currency quotedin the pair is expected by HSBC Global Research to appreciate/depreciate/track sideways against the second currency quoted over the coming weeks. For example, an up arrow against EUR/USD means that the EUR is expected to appreciate against the USD over the coming weeks. The arrows under the “current” represent our current views, while those under “previous” represent our views in the last month’s report.

Note: ^DXY = US Dollar Index, is an index (or measure) of the value of the USD against major global currencies, including the EUR, JPY, GBP,CAD, SEK and CHF. Source: HSBC

Explanation of terms

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